Authors: Woon Kim, Gang-Len Chang, Steven M. Rochon
Conference: The 15th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems, New York, 2008
Abstract:
This paper presents a methodology for developing a model for estimating and predicting incident duration and identifying variables influencing the incident duration in the state of Maryland. The incident information from years 2003 to 2005 from the Maryland State Highway (MDSHA) database is used for model development, and year 2006 for the model validation. Classification Trees (CT) were used for a preliminary analysis to understand the influence of the variables associated with an incident. Based on the findings from CT, this study employed the Rule-Based Tree Model (RBTM) to develop the primary prediction model. The overall confidence for the estimated model was over 80% with several remarkable findings regarding the associations between factors and incident duration. Although the estimated results from RBTM are quite acceptable, supplemental models along with better quality database are required to improve the prediction accuracy for the duration of a detected incident.
Authors: Woon Kim, Suhasini Natarajan, and Gang-Len Chang
Conference: The 11th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation System, October 2008 in Beijing, China.
Status: Presented
Abstract:
This paper presents a methodology for developinga model to identify the variables influencing incident duration to estimate and predict incident duration in the state of Maryland. The incident information from years 2003 to 2005 from the Maryland State Highway (MDSHA) database was used for model development, and year 2006 for model validation. Classification Trees (CT) were employed for a preliminary analysis to understand the influence of the variables associated with an incident. Based on the findings from CT, this study employed the Rule-Based Tree Model(RBTM) to develop the primary prediction model. The overall confidence for the estimated model was over 80% with several remarkable findings regarding the association between the identified factors and incident duration. Although the estimated results from RBTM were quite acceptable, in cases where RBTM did not provide incident duration within a desirable short range, a discrete choice model was developed as a supplemental model. It is deduced that supplemental models along with better quality database are required to improve the prediction accuracy of the duration of a detected incident.
Authors: Jianwei Wang, Nan Zou, and Gang-Len Chang
Conference: 2008 TRB Annual Meeting
Status: Presentation
Abstract: As reported in the literature for Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) applications with traffic detectors, various missing data patterns are frequently observed in such systems and may dramatically degrade their performance. This study presents two imputation approaches for contending with the missing data issues in travel time prediction. The first model is based on the concept of multiple imputation technique to directly predict the travel times under various missing data patterns. The second model that serves as the supplemental component is to estimate the missing detector values using neighboring detector data and historical traffic patterns. Both models have been incorporated with reliability indicators so as to assess the quality of imputed data and its applicability for use in prediction. The numerical example based on 10 roadside detectors on I-70 in Maryland has demonstrated that both developed models outperformed existing methods and offers the potential for field implementation.
Authors: Minseok Kim, Xiaorong Lai, Gang-Len Chang and Saed Rahwanji
Conference: 2007′ IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Seattle, WA
Status: Presented
Abstract:
This paper addresses initiative works done in the state of Maryland in order to provide a clearing house for unconventional arterial intersection designs (UAIDs) and apply their concepts to selected locations. As a collaborative research effort among the University of Maryland at College Park, Maryland State Highway Administration (MSHA), and Parsons Brinckerhoff Inc., a knowledge base web interface has been built to help traffic engineers, community planners, and elected officials to consider the UAID as a feasible solution for relieving arterial congestion and to select appropriate unconventional design schemes given actual traffic patterns. A great number of statistics on visits and page views show the beneficial effect of the website. The MSHA has also been active in adopting unconventional design concepts at local intersections that incurred operational or safety problems. This paper summarizes four case studies that have been conducted for those locations and treated relatively new UAID concepts, including: 1) superstreet intersection, 2) continuous flow intersection, 3) center turn overpass, and 4) roundabout at high speed approaches. Results of these case studies indicate that the unconventional intersection designs have promise of enhancing not only operational efficiency but also safety along the arterial.
Authors: Xianfeng Yang, Yao Cheng, Gang-Len Chang
Conference: Transportation Research Board, 2015
Abstract: Congestion at the downstream of a freeway off-ramp often propagates the traffic queue to the mainline, and thus reduces the freeway capacity at the interchange area. To prevent the potential queue spillback, this study proposes a two-stage control model to optimize the signal plans on an off-ramp connected arterial. The first-stage of the model aims to optimize the green splits with a specified off-ramp queue length constraint. The second stage of this model is focused on the coordination of both off- ramp flows and local through traffic.
Authors: Woon Kim, Hyeonmi Kim, and Gang-Len Chang
Conference: Transportation Research Board, 2015
Abstract: This study proposed a general framework of real-time emergency response operations for highway networks experiencing a high frequency of concurrent traffic emergency events. The proposed system consists of three principal models, working collectively for estimating the probabilities of event occurrences, projecting the incident clearance time, and optimizing the location and coverage of available response units. The system is designed to assist responsible agencies in assessing the need to relocate available incident response units in real time operations, based on the available resources and detected traffic information. The empirical evaluation results showed that the dynamic real-time dispatch strategy can outperform the static dispatch and state-of-the-practice patrolling strategies with respect to minimizing the network-wide delay induced by events and waiting times of vehicles involved in the events for response.
Authors: Yang (Carl) Lu and Dr. Gang-Len Chang
Conference: Transportation Research Board, 2015
Abstract: Due to the apparent capacity difference between Hsuehshan tunnel and its connected roadway segments, identifying the optimal activation time for available control strategies has emerged as a critical issue. This study presents an exploratory system that integrates an existing macroscopic model with a dynamic monitoring function that serves as the basis to guide the selection of a new set of parameters when the traffic condition within the tunnel is evolving into the unstable state. Using one year of field data, our experimental results show the promising properties of the system which can serve as the basis for guiding the activation of the control strategies
Authors: Chien-Lun Lan and Gang-Len Chang
Conference: Transportation Research Board, 2015
Abstract: Scooters are one of the primary transportation modes in many developing countries, but design guidelines and software for arterial signals accommodating heavy scooter-vehicle mixed flows are still
in their infancy. Traffic professionals often have no choice but to apply existing models that cannot address scooters’ complex maneuvers. This study conducts field observations of the mixed traffic flow from their discharging to the formation of stop queues. Based on the statistical analysis results, this study develops a series of formulations to describe the behavior of mixed traffic flows. The developed models are evaluated and
confirmed to be reliable to serve as the basis for designing arterial control plans.
Authors: Hyeonmi Kim, Woon Kim, Gang-Len Chang and Steve M. Rochon
Conference: Transportation Research Board, 2014
Abstract: This study presents a model for optimizing the deployment locations of emergency response units. Unlike most existing studies, the proposed model is designed to assign the available units to minimize the total delay caused by incidents, rather than just to minimize their average response times. The proposed model with the Maryland incident data outperforms both the popular p-median model and the current practice. Extensive sensitivity analyses with respect to various traffic volumes and incident frequencies have also confirmed the superior performance of the proposed model with respect to minimizing the total delay caused by incidents.
Authors: Sung Yoon Park, Liu Xu, Gang-Len Chang
Conference: Transportation Research Board